#!/usr/bin/perl # Display game skill metrics for games ordered by standard deviation # for palyers with 10+ matches. # Bruno Wolff III # Last revised October 13, 2012 # While areaid and gameid can't currently contain any uri specials, I want # assume they can here, so I if tweak the database schema, things don't # break here. The problem characters that might eventually be allowed # are '#', '/' and '?'. # Use unbuffered output as there are some long delays while doing queries select(STDOUT); $| = 1; $" = ''; use Pg; use Statistics::Distributions; # Use this to clean stuff extracted from the database for html output sub clean(@) { local $str = "@_"; $str =~ s/&/&/g; $str =~ s//>/g; $str =~ s/"/"/g; return $str; } # Use this to convert REQUEST_URI to unescaped string sub urldecode(@) { local $str = "@_"; $str =~ s/\%[0-9a-fA-F]{2}/$urldhash{$&}/eg; return $str; } # Use this to make sure urls don't contain url specials sub urlencode(@) { local $str = "@_"; $str =~ s/[^-_A-Za-z0-9.$+!*'(),]/$urlehash{$&}/eg; return $str; } # One time build of data used by url decode sub urlinit() { my $c; my $f; my $i; for ($i=0; $i<=255; $i++) { $c = chr($i); $f = sprintf('%%%.2X', $i); $urldhash{$f} = $c; $urldhash{lc($f)} = $c; $urlehash{$c} = $f; } } urlinit; if ($ENV{REQUEST_METHOD} ne '' && $ENV{REQUEST_METHOD} ne 'GET' && $ENV{REQUEST_METHOD} ne 'HEAD') { $meth = clean($ENV{REQUEST_METHOD}); $uri = clean($ENV{REQUEST_URI}); print < 501 Method Not Implemented

Method Not Implemented

Method '$meth' not implented for $uri. EOF exit; } print <<"EOF"; content-type: text/html; charset=UTF-8 Game skill metrics ordered by standard deviation for players with 10+ matches

Game skill metrics ordered by standard deviation for players with 10+ matches

EOF # First try to connect $conn = Pg::connectdb('dbname=area'); if ($conn->status != PGRES_CONNECTION_OK) { print << "EOF"; Unable to connect the AREA database. EOF exit; } print << "EOF";

The standard deviation of AREA ratings gives an indication of the relative skill levels of two games. The game with more skill will have a higher standard deviation. For the standard deviation to be useful in this respect, a game should have a number of players who are rated and have played enough games for their ratings to be relatively accurate.

The 90% low and high values bound the actual standard deviations for which the null hypothesis that the actual standard deviation is the actual standard deviation would not be rejected at the .1 significance level.

The mean should be close to 5000, but because ratings for players are normally dropped after 12 (previously 10) years, the mean can be different. My feeling is that means greater than 5000 should be normal as players who try a game and don't like it will typically give up before they get very good in the game. A mean less than 5000 probably indicates that very good players get bored with the game.

EOF # Since there is only one query no transaction isolation setting is needed $result = $conn->exec("select games.gameid, title, case when count(rate) > 1 then stddev(rate)::bigint end, avg(rate)::bigint, count(rate), case when count(case when frq >= 10 then rate end) > 1 then stddev(case when frq >= 10 then rate end)::bigint end, count(case when frq >= 10 then rate end) from games left join crate on (games.gameid = crate.gameid and frq > 0) group by games.gameid, title order by stddev(case when frq >= 10 then rate end) is null, stddev(case when frq >= 10 then rate end) desc, lower(title), games.gameid"); if ($result->resultStatus != PGRES_TUPLES_OK) { print << "EOF"; Unable to access the games or crate tables. EOF exit; } if ($result->ntuples <= 0) { print << "EOF"; No games were found. EOF exit; } print "\n\n"; while (@row = $result->fetchrow) { $code = clean(urlencode($row[0])); $title = clean($row[1]); $row[2] = 'Undefined' unless defined $row[2]; $stddev = clean($row[2]); $row[3] = 'Undefined' unless defined $row[3]; $mean = clean($row[3]); $count = clean($row[4]); $row[5] = 'Undefined' unless defined $row[5]; $stddev10 = clean($row[5]); $count10 = clean($row[6]); $low = 'Undefined'; $high = 'Undefined'; if ($count > 1) { $low = int(.5 + $stddev * sqrt(($count-1)/ Statistics::Distributions::chisqrdistr($count-1,.05))); $high = int(.5 + $stddev * sqrt(($count-1)/ Statistics::Distributions::chisqrdistr($count-1,.95))); } $low = clean($low); $high = clean($high); $low10 = 'Undefined'; $high10 = 'Undefined'; if ($count10 > 1) { $low10 = int(.5 + $stddev10 * sqrt(($count10-1)/ Statistics::Distributions::chisqrdistr($count10-1,.05))); $high10 = int(.5 + $stddev10 * sqrt(($count10-1)/ Statistics::Distributions::chisqrdistr($count10-1,.95))); } $low10 = clean($low10); $high10 = clean($high10); print "
Standard Deviation for 10+ matches 90% Low 90% High Number of people with 10+ matches Standard Deviation (Skill) 90% Low 90% High Mean Number of ratings Title
$stddev10 $low10 $high10 $count10 $stddev $low $high $mean $count $title\n"; } print < EOF